"The current deficits are very large: in 2009, 1.42 trillion; for the current year, 2010, an estimated 1.5 to 1.6 trillion. But those were caused largely due to significant declines in revenues because of the recession, because of additional expenditures for social safety-net programs, because of two undeclared and unfinanced wars, and a variety of other factors, including bailouts.
Those are troubling, and they are adding to our debt, you know, at record rates, but that's not what threatens our ship of state. What threatens our ship of state is the structural deficits that will exist after we are out of the recession, after unemployment is down, after the wars are over, and after we get past the current crises."The bailouts, the stimulus, the new jobs bill, lower tax revenues, all these things result in a disastrous fiscal deficit but they don't hold a candle to the overall structural problems that exist.
"At the same point in time, we need to recognize that what threatens this ship of state is the ice that's below the water in the iceberg. It's not today's $12.4 trillion in debt. It's the $50 trillion in unfunded obligations for Medicare, Social Security, other commitments and contingencies that we don't know how we're going to keep, and it's time to start recognizing that reality and taking steps to make sure that we can deliver on the promises that we intend to keep.
The government spends every dime of the Social Security surplus on other government operating expenses, every single dime. There's no savings for Social Security. We've issued additional debt that ultimately what happens is we'll have to exchange one form of debt for public debt."Here is how I see it:
- Within 12 years, at current interest rates (which are at unsustainable historic lows) the single largest line item in the federal budget will be interest on the federal debt. It will likely be sooner than this
- In 2035 (25 years from now), based on historic tax levels the only thing the federal government will be able to do is pay interest on the national debt. No military, no education, no roads, no government
- Raise taxes above historic rates
- Reduce or eliminate entitlement programs
One last quote:
"Let's recognize reality. They're three key points with regard to spending. Spending more money than you make on a recurring basis is irresponsible. Irresponsibly spending somebody else's money is unethical - and if youre a fiduciary, a fiduciary breech. And irresponsibly spending somebody else's money when they're too young to vote and not born yet is immoral. And all three of those things are going on right now and they threaten America's future.
The decisions that we make or that we fail to make within the next five years, will largely determine whether our future is better than our past. And in my view, I want it to be better - for the sake of my kids and my grandkids."Still haven't had enough? Here are your next steps:
How about these apples: Try reading articles and analysis from someone other than an amateur blogger from Rochester New York.
You know what? Let's just let future generations deal with it. Let's just watch OK Go's new YouTube video instead.






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